Qualification · Qualification 16

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

160.78 – 321.92

12%88%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

102 – 314

Prediction correct · off by 33.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 325.2 ±11.7

8626Cyber Sailors

Season APEX 117.8Event APEX -27.53Rank 35Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2876DevilBotz

Season APEX 112.3Event APEX 180.79Rank 22Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1735Green Reapers

Season APEX 95.1Event APEX 7.52Rank 45Record 1-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 746.4 ±10.2

1768Nashoba Robotics

A+

Season APEX 316.5Event APEX 179.1Rank 3Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2084Robots by the C

Season APEX 87.1Event APEX -6.14Rank 29Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1796RoboTigers

Season APEX 342.8Event APEX 148.96Rank 1Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8626, 2876, 1735

/ 100 compat

Projected

160.8 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8626, 2876, 1735

Auto

8.7 6%

Teleop

57.6 40%

Endgame

79.5 55%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 14%

Blue · 1768, 2084, 1796

/ 100 compat

Projected

321.9 pts

~2.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1768, 2084, 1796

Auto

71.4 22%

Teleop

187.0 58%

Endgame

64.5 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 14%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.06 · Blue 2.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score160.8pts

Blue projected score321.9pts

Red win probability12%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 78%

Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 27%

Traversal bonusred 14%, blue 11%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -161.1
Score range: 110–373
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 416 vs event baseline 280.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

325.2Season APEX746.4

8.7Auto71.4

57.6Teleop187

79.5Endgame64.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	56
teleop	32	110
endgame	17	143
foul	30	5
total	102	314

Result

Final score

102 – 314

Prediction correct · off by 33.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable