Qualification · Qualification 12

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

153.29 – 177.53

43%57%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

245 – 140

Prediction missed · off by 64.6 points

Limited current-season data (11 matches) — wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceΣ Season APEX 206.6 ±14.6

6911SO BOTZ

Season APEX 88.5Event APEX 88Rank 25Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1601Quantum Samurai

Season APEX 92.4Event APEX 33.57Rank 21Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 85

4041Iron Tigers

Season APEX 25.7Event APEX 31.72Rank 42Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceΣ Season APEX 512 ±12.7

237Black Magic Robotics

Season APEX 78Event APEX -17.32Rank 39Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6328Mechanical Advantage

A+

Season APEX 239.6Event APEX 88Rank 43Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2877LigerBots

Season APEX 194.4Event APEX 106.85Rank 38Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -24.2
Score range: 101–230
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-07-02
Model: apex-0.2.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 385 vs event baseline 290.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

206.6Season APEX512

16.1Auto24.1

56.3Teleop62.3

77.8Endgame79.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	49
teleop	107	65
endgame	115	26
foul	0	0
total	245	140

Result

Final score

245 – 140

Prediction missed · score err 64.6

FIRST/TBA score reconciliation:

first-unavailable