Final · Finals 1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
511.69 – 452.64
68%32%
Actual result
Not yet played. The prediction will be graded against the final score once results are in.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 807.8 ±12.9
Season APEX 152Event APEX 57.12Rank 24Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 88
Season APEX 259.8Event APEX 187.84Rank 2Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 239.34Rank 5Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 82.4Event APEX 27.39Rank 30Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 1056 ±10.1
Season APEX 316.5Event APEX 187.45Rank 3Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 95.1Event APEX 28.16Rank 45Record 1-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 342.8Event APEX 221.62Rank 1Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 15.41Rank 43Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2791, 88, 5687, 3623
85
/ 100 compatProjected
511.7 pts
~2.6 RP (offseason)
Teams: 2791, 88, 5687, 3623
Auto
110.9 22%
Teleop
261.4 52%
Endgame
126.4 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 71%
Supercharged: 33%
Traversal: 23%
Blue · 1768, 1735, 1796, 6328
88
/ 100 compatProjected
452.6 pts
~1.6 RP (offseason)
Teams: 1768, 1735, 1796, 6328
Auto
94.8 22%
Teleop
223.4 52%
Endgame
110.0 26%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 71%
Supercharged: 33%
Traversal: 23%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.63 · Blue 1.65
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score511.7pts
Blue projected score452.6pts
Red win probability68%
Event bonus sample178alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 71%, blue 68%
Supercharged bonusred 33%, blue 18%
Traversal bonusred 23%, blue 14%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 59.1
- Score range
- 401–564
- Upset likelihood
- 32%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
807.8Season APEX1056
110.9Auto94.8
261.4Teleop223.4
126.4Endgame110
38Consistency109
Result
This match hasn't been played yet. The prediction will be graded against the actual result once final scores are in.