Qualification · Qualification 9

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

101.66 – 23.09

73%27%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

201 – 27

Prediction correct · off by 51.6 points

Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 82 ±17.7

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 54.9Rank 27Record 0-6-0Status -Confidence -

9091A.W.E.

Provisional

Season APEX 37.1Event APEX 7.55Rank 8Record 4-2-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

1011CRUSH

Provisional

Season APEX 44.9Event APEX 39.21Rank 14Record 3-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 45.1 ±13

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 54.9Rank 27Record 0-6-0Status -Confidence -

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX -24.76Rank 27Record 0-6-0Status -Confidence -

2662RoboKrew

Provisional

Season APEX 45.1Event APEX -7.05Rank 11Record 4-2-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · NaN, 9091, 1011

/ 100 compat

Projected

101.7 pts

~1.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: NaN, 9091, 1011

Auto

30.7 31%

Teleop

50.2 51%

Endgame

17.7 18%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · NaN, NaN, 2662

/ 100 compat

Projected

23.1 pts

~0.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: NaN, NaN, 2662

Auto

9.2 43%

Teleop

18.5 86%

Endgame

-6.3 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.79 · Blue 0.78

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score101.7pts

Blue projected score23.1pts

Red win probability73%

Event bonus sample68alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 30%, blue 18%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 78.6
Score range: 2–123
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 228 vs event baseline 114.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

82Season APEX45.1

30.7Auto9.2

50.2Teleop18.5

17.7Endgame-6.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	17
teleop	103	7
endgame	70	3
foul	15	0
total	201	27

Result

Final score

201 – 27

Prediction correct · off by 51.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

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