Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

43.62 – 169.03

17%83%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

32 – 202

Prediction correct · off by 22.3 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 140.9 ±22.5

9704IgKnighted

Provisional

Season APEX 40.5Event APEX 26.29Rank 22Record 2-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

4146Sabercats

Provisional

Season APEX 52.9Event APEX 8.57Rank 25Record 1-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

10506Crash Test Dummies

Provisional

Season APEX 47.5Event APEX 8.76Rank 20Record 2-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 394.8 ±20.5

6352LAUNCH TEAM

A+

Season APEX 294.5Event APEX 42.83Rank 3Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 89

10380The Dragon Hunters

Provisional

Season APEX 43.6Event APEX 67.63Rank 19Record 2-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

996Mecha Knights

Provisional

Season APEX 56.7Event APEX 58.57Rank 17Record 2-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9704, 4146, 10506

/ 100 compat

Projected

43.6 pts

~0.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9704, 4146, 10506

Auto

4.2 10%

Teleop

26.9 63%

Endgame

11.3 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6352, 10380, 996

/ 100 compat

Projected

169 pts

~2.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6352, 10380, 996

Auto

35.7 23%

Teleop

74.4 47%

Endgame

47.1 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.6 · Blue 2.05

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score43.6pts

Blue projected score169pts

Red win probability17%

Event bonus sample68alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 22%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -125.4
Score range: 25–188
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 234 vs event baseline 103.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

140.9Season APEX394.8

4.2Auto35.7

26.9Teleop74.4

11.3Endgame47.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	17
teleop	10	137
endgame	11	48
foul	0	0
total	32	202

Result

Final score

32 – 202

Prediction correct · off by 22.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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