Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

82.93 – 141.11

33%67%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

69 – 175

Prediction correct · off by 23.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 152 ±15.3

698Hamilton Microbots

Provisional

Season APEX 64.7Event APEX 0.28Rank 26Record 1-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 27.58Rank 27Record 0-6-0Status -Confidence -

4183Bit Buckets

Season APEX 87.3Event APEX 55.07Rank 18Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 291.7 ±14.3

2486CocoNuts

Season APEX 244.2Event APEX 107.31Rank 7Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10506Crash Test Dummies

Provisional

Season APEX 47.5Event APEX 31.13Rank 20Record 2-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 2.67Rank 27Record 0-6-0Status -Confidence -

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 698, NaN, 4183

/ 100 compat

Projected

82.9 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 698, NaN, 4183

Auto

15.9 18%

Teleop

74.9 84%

Endgame

-1.6 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 17%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2486, 10506, NaN

/ 100 compat

Projected

141.1 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2486, 10506, NaN

Auto

33.2 23%

Teleop

68.7 48%

Endgame

40.1 28%

Strengths

· 2486 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 17%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.86 · Blue 1.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score82.9pts

Blue projected score141.1pts

Red win probability33%

Event bonus sample68alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 17%, blue 22%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -58.2
Score range: 62–162
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 244 vs event baseline 117.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

152Season APEX291.7

15.9Auto33.2

74.9Teleop68.7

-1.6Endgame40.1

41Consistency28

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	22
teleop	34	69
endgame	16	84
foul	0	0
total	69	175

Result

Final score

69 – 175

Prediction correct · off by 23.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

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