Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

105.92 – 293.76

9%91%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

64 – 224

Prediction correct · off by 55.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 347.4 ±15.8

4146Sabercats

Provisional

Season APEX 52.9Event APEX 2.97Rank 25Record 1-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

6352LAUNCH TEAM

A+

Season APEX 294.5Event APEX 126.15Rank 3Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 89

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX -23.2Rank 27Record 0-6-0Status -Confidence -

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 530.8 ±15.5

9091A.W.E.

Provisional

Season APEX 37.1Event APEX 44.36Rank 8Record 4-2-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

498The Cobra Commanders

A+

Season APEX 318.2Event APEX 128.35Rank 2Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2403Plasma Robotics

Season APEX 175.5Event APEX 121.05Rank 1Record 6-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4146, 6352, NaN

/ 100 compat

Projected

105.9 pts

~0.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4146, 6352, NaN

Auto

16.7 16%

Teleop

78.6 77%

Endgame

6.6 6%

Strengths

· 6352 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9091, 498, 2403

/ 100 compat

Projected

293.8 pts

~2.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9091, 498, 2403

Auto

56.4 20%

Teleop

129.6 45%

Endgame

100.3 35%

Strengths

· 498 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.42 · Blue 2.27

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score105.9pts

Blue projected score293.8pts

Red win probability9%

Event bonus sample68alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 19%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -187.8
Score range: 85–315
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 288 vs event baseline 118.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

347.4Season APEX530.8

16.7Auto56.4

78.6Teleop129.6

6.6Endgame100.3

41Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	6	50
teleop	42	125
endgame	16	49
foul	0	0
total	64	224

Result

Final score

64 – 224

Prediction correct · off by 55.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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