Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

115.15 – 40.61

72%28%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

165 – 34

Prediction correct · off by 28.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 389.3 ±42

9973Off-Season Demo Team 9973

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 6.37Rank 15Record 3-3-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

6352LAUNCH TEAM

A+

Season APEX 294.5Event APEX 102.57Rank 3Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 89

7755Phantom Circuits

Season APEX 94.8Event APEX 6.21Rank 5Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 92

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 135.8 ±22.5

2662RoboKrew

Provisional

Season APEX 45.1Event APEX -27.49Rank 11Record 4-2-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

11176RoboRabbits

Provisional

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 22.06Rank 10Record 3-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

10380The Dragon Hunters

Provisional

Season APEX 43.6Event APEX 46.04Rank 19Record 2-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9973, 6352, 7755

/ 100 compat

Projected

115.2 pts

~1.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9973, 6352, 7755

Auto

6.5 6%

Teleop

71.6 64%

Endgame

33.4 30%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2662, 11176, 10380

/ 100 compat

Projected

40.6 pts

~0.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2662, 11176, 10380

Auto

8.5 22%

Teleop

27.4 70%

Endgame

3.1 8%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.77 · Blue 0.82

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score115.2pts

Blue projected score40.6pts

Red win probability72%

Event bonus sample68alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 22%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 74.5
Score range: 19–137
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 199 vs event baseline 124.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

389.3Season APEX135.8

6.5Auto8.5

71.6Teleop27.4

33.4Endgame3.1

69Consistency45

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	16
teleop	128	18
endgame	3	0
foul	0	0
total	165	34

Result

Final score

165 – 34

Prediction correct · off by 28.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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