Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

51.76 – 123.46

29%71%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

30 – 142

Prediction correct · off by 20.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 254.4 ±11.3

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX -14.08Rank 27Record 0-6-0Status -Confidence -

10988Desert Storm

Season APEX 167.1Event APEX 21Rank 13Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

4183Bit Buckets

Season APEX 87.3Event APEX 44.84Rank 18Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 339.4 ±42.7

9974Off-Season Demo Team 9974

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 30.56Rank 12Record 3-3-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

1011CRUSH

Provisional

Season APEX 44.9Event APEX -4.76Rank 14Record 3-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

6352LAUNCH TEAM

A+

Season APEX 294.5Event APEX 97.66Rank 3Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 89

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · NaN, 10988, 4183

/ 100 compat

Projected

51.8 pts

~0.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: NaN, 10988, 4183

Auto

2.9 5%

Teleop

31.4 58%

Endgame

20.1 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 16%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9974, 1011, 6352

/ 100 compat

Projected

123.5 pts

~1.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9974, 1011, 6352

Auto

10.1 8%

Teleop

95.1 77%

Endgame

17.8 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 16%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.78 · Blue 1.71

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score51.8pts

Blue projected score123.5pts

Red win probability29%

Event bonus sample68alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 16%, blue 24%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -71.7
Score range: 27–148
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 172 vs event baseline 139.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

254.4Season APEX339.4

2.9Auto10.1

31.4Teleop95.1

20.1Endgame17.8

54Consistency49

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	5	16
teleop	15	97
endgame	10	29
foul	0	0
total	30	142

Result

Final score

30 – 142

Prediction correct · off by 20.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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