Qualification · Qualification 18

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

191.88 – 6.07

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

400 – 22

Prediction correct · off by 112 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 360.5 ±10

498The Cobra Commanders

A+

Season APEX 318.2Event APEX 120.05Rank 2Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 4.48Rank 27Record 0-6-0Status -Confidence -

10933Tie Dye Samurai

Season APEX 42.3Event APEX 67.35Rank 6Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 85.4 ±17.7

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX -9.71Rank 27Record 0-6-0Status -Confidence -

9704IgKnighted

Provisional

Season APEX 40.5Event APEX 5.78Rank 22Record 2-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

1011CRUSH

Provisional

Season APEX 44.9Event APEX 10Rank 14Record 3-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 498, NaN, 10933

/ 100 compat

Projected

191.9 pts

~2.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 498, NaN, 10933

Auto

45.8 26%

Teleop

76.2 43%

Endgame

55.3 31%

Strengths

· 498 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · NaN, 9704, 1011

/ 100 compat

Projected

6.1 pts

~0.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: NaN, 9704, 1011

Auto

-15.4 0%

Teleop

-1.3 0%

Endgame

17.8 100%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.26 · Blue 0.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score191.9pts

Blue projected score6.1pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample68alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 30%, blue 17%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 185.8
Score range: -15–213
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 422 vs event baseline 118.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

360.5Season APEX85.4

45.8Auto-15.4

76.2Teleop-1.3

55.3Endgame17.8

88Consistency19

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	102	8
teleop	185	13
endgame	113	1
foul	0	0
total	400	22

Result

Final score

400 – 22

Prediction correct · off by 112 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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