Qualification · Qualification 16

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

58.45 – 135

28%72%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

25 – 303

Prediction correct · off by 100.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 47.1 ±42.1

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX -4.61Rank 27Record 0-6-0Status -Confidence -

9973Off-Season Demo Team 9973

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 6.94Rank 15Record 3-3-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11176RoboRabbits

Provisional

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 56.12Rank 10Record 3-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 140.2 ±15.3

4183Bit Buckets

Season APEX 87.3Event APEX 33.06Rank 18Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 110.43Rank 27Record 0-6-0Status -Confidence -

4146Sabercats

Provisional

Season APEX 52.9Event APEX -8.49Rank 25Record 1-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · NaN, 9973, 11176

/ 100 compat

Projected

58.5 pts

~0.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: NaN, 9973, 11176

Auto

27.0 44%

Teleop

23.9 39%

Endgame

10.9 18%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4183, NaN, 4146

/ 100 compat

Projected

135 pts

~1.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4183, NaN, 4146

Auto

22.9 17%

Teleop

97.4 74%

Endgame

11.1 8%

Strengths

· 498B anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.78 · Blue 1.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score58.5pts

Blue projected score135pts

Red win probability28%

Event bonus sample68alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 19%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -76.5
Score range: 37–156
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 328 vs event baseline 117.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

47.1Season APEX140.2

27Auto22.9

23.9Teleop97.4

10.9Endgame11.1

94Consistency116

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	55
teleop	13	184
endgame	2	64
foul	0	0
total	25	303

Result

Final score

25 – 303

Prediction correct · off by 100.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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