Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

228.98 – 0.28

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

368 – 74

Prediction correct · off by 106.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 512.3 ±13.5

6352LAUNCH TEAM

A+

Season APEX 294.5Event APEX 89.94Rank 3Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 89

2403Plasma Robotics

Season APEX 175.5Event APEX 123.15Rank 1Record 6-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10933Tie Dye Samurai

Season APEX 42.3Event APEX 15.89Rank 6Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 64.7 ±42.1

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX -11.18Rank 27Record 0-6-0Status -Confidence -

698Hamilton Microbots

Provisional

Season APEX 64.7Event APEX 4.47Rank 26Record 1-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9974Off-Season Demo Team 9974

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 6.99Rank 12Record 3-3-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6352, 2403, 10933

/ 100 compat

Projected

229 pts

~2.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6352, 2403, 10933

Auto

23.7 10%

Teleop

142.0 62%

Endgame

61.8 27%

Strengths

· 2403 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · NaN, 698, 9974

/ 100 compat

Projected

0.3 pts

~0.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: NaN, 698, 9974

Auto

13.1 100%

Teleop

8.4 100%

Endgame

-18.1 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.32 · Blue 0.35

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score229pts

Blue projected score0.3pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample68alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 18%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 228.7
Score range: -20–249
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 442 vs event baseline 109.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

512.3Season APEX64.7

23.7Auto13.1

142Teleop8.4

61.8Endgame-18.1

50Consistency71

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	48	22
teleop	277	18
endgame	43	19
foul	0	15
total	368	74

Result

Final score

368 – 74

Prediction correct · off by 106.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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