Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

0 – 153.49

11%89%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

14 – 66

Prediction correct · off by 50.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 52.9 ±42.1

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 7.1Rank 27Record 0-6-0Status -Confidence -

4146Sabercats

Provisional

Season APEX 52.9Event APEX -25.03Rank 25Record 1-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9973Off-Season Demo Team 9973

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 7Rank 15Record 3-3-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 139.7 ±15

1011CRUSH

Provisional

Season APEX 44.9Event APEX 54.24Rank 14Record 3-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

7755Phantom Circuits

Season APEX 94.8Event APEX 60.14Rank 5Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 92

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 39.11Rank 27Record 0-6-0Status -Confidence -

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · NaN, 4146, 9973

/ 100 compat

Projected

-10.9 pts

~0.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: NaN, 4146, 9973

Auto

6.7 0%

Teleop

-0.6 8%

Endgame

-13.7 100%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 17%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1011, 7755, NaN

/ 100 compat

Projected

153.5 pts

~2.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1011, 7755, NaN

Auto

24.0 17%

Teleop

61.5 44%

Endgame

55.4 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 17%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.44 · Blue 2.05

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score-10.9pts

Blue projected score153.5pts

Red win probability11%

Event bonus sample68alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 17%, blue 24%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -153.5
Score range: -21–174
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 80 vs event baseline 115.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

52.9Season APEX139.7

6.7Auto24

-0.6Teleop61.5

-13.7Endgame55.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	6	14
teleop	8	34
endgame	0	18
foul	0	0
total	14	66

Result

Final score

14 – 66

Prediction correct · off by 50.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

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