Qualification · Qualification 11

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

160.8 – 172.42

46%54%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

164 – 101

Prediction missed · off by 37.3 points

Limited current-season data (10 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 532.4 ±16.4

10988Desert Storm

Season APEX 167.1Event APEX 0.87Rank 13Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

498The Cobra Commanders

A+

Season APEX 318.2Event APEX 80.72Rank 2Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11176RoboRabbits

Provisional

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 79.21Rank 10Record 3-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 352.5 ±19.3

10380The Dragon Hunters

Provisional

Season APEX 43.6Event APEX 72.81Rank 19Record 2-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

698Hamilton Microbots

Provisional

Season APEX 64.7Event APEX 22.25Rank 26Record 1-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

2486CocoNuts

Season APEX 244.2Event APEX 77.36Rank 7Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10988, 498, 11176

/ 100 compat

Projected

160.8 pts

~1.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10988, 498, 11176

Auto

46.8 31%

Teleop

56.3 37%

Endgame

48.0 32%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10380, 698, 2486

/ 100 compat

Projected

172.4 pts

~1.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10380, 698, 2486

Auto

31.9 19%

Teleop

89.0 53%

Endgame

48.0 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.24 · Blue 1.32

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score160.8pts

Blue projected score172.4pts

Red win probability46%

Event bonus sample68alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 26%, blue 21%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -11.6
Score range: 140–193
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 265 vs event baseline 115.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

532.4Season APEX352.5

46.8Auto31.9

56.3Teleop89

48Endgame48

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	65	38
teleop	64	63
endgame	35	0
foul	0	0
total	164	101

Result

Final score

164 – 101

Prediction missed · off by 37.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.