Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

305.06 – 222.7

74%26%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

537 – 143

Prediction correct · off by 155.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 660.8 ±11.7

10988Desert Storm

Season APEX 167.1Event APEX 4.37Rank 13Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

498The Cobra Commanders

A+

Season APEX 318.2Event APEX 151.94Rank 2Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2403Plasma Robotics

Season APEX 175.5Event APEX 148.75Rank 1Record 6-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 294.5 ±9

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 139.68Rank 27Record 0-6-0Status -Confidence -

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX -18.6Rank 27Record 0-6-0Status -Confidence -

6352LAUNCH TEAM

A+

Season APEX 294.5Event APEX 101.62Rank 3Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 89

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10988, 498, 2403

/ 100 compat

Projected

305.1 pts

~1.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10988, 498, 2403

Auto

61.4 20%

Teleop

155.3 51%

Endgame

85.4 28%

Strengths

· 498 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · NaN, NaN, 6352

/ 100 compat

Projected

222.7 pts

~0.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: NaN, NaN, 6352

Auto

64.0 29%

Teleop

127.7 57%

Endgame

30.9 14%

Strengths

· 498B anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.81 · Blue 0.82

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score305.1pts

Blue projected score222.7pts

Red win probability74%

Event bonus sample68alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 25%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 82.4
Score range: 199–329
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 680 vs event baseline 133.7.

← Previous

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

660.8Season APEX294.5

61.4Auto64

155.3Teleop127.7

85.4Endgame30.9

0Consistency14

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	93	68
teleop	275	26
endgame	164	34
foul	5	15
total	537	143

Result

Final score

537 – 143

Prediction correct · off by 155.8 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.