Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

333.58 – 234.89

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

194 – 162

Prediction correct · off by 106.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 660.8 ±11.7

10988Desert Storm

Season APEX 167.1Event APEX 15.66Rank 13Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

498The Cobra Commanders

A+

Season APEX 318.2Event APEX 161.91Rank 2Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2403Plasma Robotics

Season APEX 175.5Event APEX 156.01Rank 1Record 6-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 294.5 ±9

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 143.66Rank 27Record 0-6-0Status -Confidence -

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX -15.51Rank 27Record 0-6-0Status -Confidence -

6352LAUNCH TEAM

A+

Season APEX 294.5Event APEX 106.74Rank 3Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 89

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10988, 498, 2403

/ 100 compat

Projected

333.6 pts

~1.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10988, 498, 2403

Auto

57.4 17%

Teleop

168.6 51%

Endgame

103.8 31%

Strengths

· 498 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · NaN, NaN, 6352

/ 100 compat

Projected

234.9 pts

~0.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: NaN, NaN, 6352

Auto

65.4 28%

Teleop

137.2 58%

Endgame

32.1 14%

Strengths

· 498B anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.89 · Blue 0.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score333.6pts

Blue projected score234.9pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample68alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 25%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 98.7
Score range: 211–358
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 356 vs event baseline 132.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

660.8Season APEX294.5

57.4Auto65.4

168.6Teleop137.2

103.8Endgame32.1

0Consistency10

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	76	59
teleop	102	83
endgame	16	20
foul	0	0
total	194	162

Result

Final score

194 – 162

Prediction correct · off by 106.2 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.