Qualification · Qualification 8

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

260.7 – 337.6

28%72%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

185 – 381

Prediction correct · off by 59.5 points

Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 372.1 ±20.5

9091A.W.E.

Provisional

Season APEX 37.1Event APEX 36.42Rank 13Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

6352LAUNCH TEAM

A+

Season APEX 294.5Event APEX 141.89Rank 4Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 89

9704IgKnighted

Provisional

Season APEX 40.5Event APEX 82.39Rank 10Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 365.3 ±14.3

11176RoboRabbits

Provisional

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 62.11Rank 9Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

498The Cobra Commanders

A+

Season APEX 318.2Event APEX 243.47Rank 1Record 8-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 32.02Rank 17Record 2-6-0Status -Confidence -

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9091, 6352, 9704

/ 100 compat

Projected

260.7 pts

~1.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9091, 6352, 9704

Auto

56.6 23%

Teleop

138.2 55%

Endgame

55.5 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11176, 498, NaN

/ 100 compat

Projected

337.6 pts

~2.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 11176, 498, NaN

Auto

76.2 23%

Teleop

163.6 50%

Endgame

85.7 26%

Strengths

· 498 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.19 · Blue 2.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score260.7pts

Blue projected score337.6pts

Red win probability28%

Event bonus sample62alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 13%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -76.9
Score range: 223–376
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 566 vs event baseline 209.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

372.1Season APEX365.3

56.6Auto76.2

138.2Teleop163.6

55.5Endgame85.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	122
teleop	92	228
endgame	69	31
foul	0	0
total	185	381

Result

Final score

185 – 381

Prediction correct · off by 59.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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