Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

194.15 – 271.73

28%72%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

92 – 98

Prediction correct · off by 137.9 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 362.5 ±19.3

2486CocoNuts

Season APEX 244.2Event APEX 25.67Rank 16Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10506Crash Test Dummies

Provisional

Season APEX 47.5Event APEX 55.47Rank 11Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

6833Python Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 70.8Event APEX 113.01Rank 15Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 264.3 ±11.3

10988Desert Storm

Season APEX 167.1Event APEX 133.05Rank 12Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94

991BroncoBots

Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 77.79Rank 3Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 60.89Rank 17Record 2-6-0Status -Confidence -

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2486, 10506, 6833

/ 100 compat

Projected

194.2 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2486, 10506, 6833

Auto

34.2 18%

Teleop

110.3 57%

Endgame

49.4 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10988, 991, NaN

/ 100 compat

Projected

271.7 pts

~1.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10988, 991, NaN

Auto

63.8 24%

Teleop

144.0 55%

Endgame

53.4 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.04 · Blue 1.93

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score194.2pts

Blue projected score271.7pts

Red win probability28%

Event bonus sample62alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -77.6
Score range: 153–313
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 190 vs event baseline 228.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

362.5Season APEX264.3

34.2Auto63.8

110.3Teleop144

49.4Endgame53.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	25
teleop	64	67
endgame	11	6
foul	0	0
total	92	98

Result

Final score

92 – 98

Prediction correct · off by 137.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

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