Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

213.16 – 117.93

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

277 – 120

Prediction correct · off by 33 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 187.7 ±21.4

9704IgKnighted

Provisional

Season APEX 40.5Event APEX 29.74Rank 10Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

10506Crash Test Dummies

Provisional

Season APEX 47.5Event APEX 42.67Rank 11Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

2375Dragon Robotics

Season APEX 99.7Event APEX 140.75Rank 6Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 76

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 84.2 ±44

11176RoboRabbits

Provisional

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 59.79Rank 9Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9999Off-Season Demo Team 9999

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 15.49Rank 18Record 0-0-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

9091A.W.E.

Provisional

Season APEX 37.1Event APEX 42.65Rank 13Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9704, 10506, 2375

/ 100 compat

Projected

213.2 pts

~2.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9704, 10506, 2375

Auto

43.4 20%

Teleop

117.1 55%

Endgame

53.2 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11176, 9999, 9091

/ 100 compat

Projected

117.9 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 11176, 9999, 9091

Auto

21.4 19%

Teleop

44.1 38%

Endgame

50.1 43%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.12 · Blue 0.96

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score213.2pts

Blue projected score117.9pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample62alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 95.2
Score range: 75–256
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 397 vs event baseline 237.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

187.7Season APEX84.2

43.4Auto21.4

117.1Teleop44.1

53.2Endgame50.1

53Consistency31

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	45	13
teleop	186	40
endgame	46	67
foul	0	0
total	277	120

Result

Final score

277 – 120

Prediction correct · off by 33 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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