Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

380.48 – 249.71

84%16%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

330 – 138

Prediction correct · off by 81.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 493.7 ±40.9

9999Off-Season Demo Team 9999

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 26.86Rank 18Record 0-0-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

498The Cobra Commanders

A+

Season APEX 318.2Event APEX 266.62Rank 1Record 8-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2403Plasma Robotics

Season APEX 175.5Event APEX 87Rank 5Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 394.2 ±14.2

2375Dragon Robotics

Season APEX 99.7Event APEX 139.82Rank 6Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 76

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 9.35Rank 17Record 2-6-0Status -Confidence -

6352LAUNCH TEAM

A+

Season APEX 294.5Event APEX 100.54Rank 4Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 89

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9999, 498, 2403

/ 100 compat

Projected

380.5 pts

~2.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9999, 498, 2403

Auto

94.3 25%

Teleop

183.4 49%

Endgame

97.9 26%

Strengths

· 498 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2375, NaN, 6352

/ 100 compat

Projected

249.7 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2375, NaN, 6352

Auto

48.8 20%

Teleop

124.7 50%

Endgame

75.2 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.23 · Blue 0.9

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score380.5pts

Blue projected score249.7pts

Red win probability84%

Event bonus sample62alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 130.8
Score range: 212–418
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 468 vs event baseline 209.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

493.7Season APEX394.2

94.3Auto48.8

183.4Teleop124.7

97.9Endgame75.2

115Consistency74

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	111	27
teleop	137	34
endgame	82	77
foul	0	0
total	330	138

Result

Final score

330 – 138

Prediction correct · off by 81.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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