Qualification · Qualification 21

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

82.54 – 422.87

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

95 – 399

Prediction correct · off by 18.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 244.2 ±40.4

9999Off-Season Demo Team 9999

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 19.81Rank 18Record 0-0-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

2486CocoNuts

Season APEX 244.2Event APEX 31.95Rank 16Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 30.78Rank 17Record 2-6-0Status -Confidence -

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 458.4 ±18.1

9704IgKnighted

Provisional

Season APEX 40.5Event APEX 17.74Rank 10Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

2375Dragon Robotics

Season APEX 99.7Event APEX 141.27Rank 6Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 76

498The Cobra Commanders

A+

Season APEX 318.2Event APEX 263.86Rank 1Record 8-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9999, 2486, NaN

/ 100 compat

Projected

82.5 pts

~0.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9999, 2486, NaN

Auto

36.3 50%

Teleop

12.7 18%

Endgame

22.9 32%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9704, 2375, 498

/ 100 compat

Projected

422.9 pts

~2.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9704, 2375, 498

Auto

102.9 24%

Teleop

220.9 52%

Endgame

99.9 24%

Strengths

· 498 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.55 · Blue 2.65

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score82.5pts

Blue projected score422.9pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample62alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 14%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -340.3
Score range: 44–462
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 494 vs event baseline 216.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

244.2Season APEX458.4

36.3Auto102.9

12.7Teleop220.9

22.9Endgame99.9

75Consistency139

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	128
teleop	32	217
endgame	42	54
foul	0	0
total	95	399

Result

Final score

95 – 399

Prediction correct · off by 18.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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