Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

223.75 – 139.87

74%26%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

349 – 80

Prediction correct · off by 92.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 134.3 ±15.3

9091A.W.E.

Provisional

Season APEX 37.1Event APEX 32.87Rank 13Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 108.87Rank 17Record 2-6-0Status -Confidence -

991BroncoBots

Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 82.01Rank 3Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 103.8 ±18.4

996Mecha Knights

Provisional

Season APEX 56.7Event APEX 54.8Rank 8Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

11176RoboRabbits

Provisional

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 67.31Rank 9Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 17.76Rank 17Record 2-6-0Status -Confidence -

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9091, NaN, 991

/ 100 compat

Projected

223.8 pts

~2.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9091, NaN, 991

Auto

39.3 17%

Teleop

141.9 62%

Endgame

47.5 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 996, 11176, NaN

/ 100 compat

Projected

139.9 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 996, 11176, NaN

Auto

26.9 19%

Teleop

94.1 68%

Endgame

18.4 13%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.1 · Blue 1.01

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score223.8pts

Blue projected score139.9pts

Red win probability74%

Event bonus sample62alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 83.9
Score range: 101–263
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 429 vs event baseline 219.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

134.3Season APEX103.8

39.3Auto26.9

141.9Teleop94.1

47.5Endgame18.4

65Consistency41

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	69	14
teleop	212	38
endgame	68	28
foul	0	0
total	349	80

Result

Final score

349 – 80

Prediction correct · off by 92.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

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