Qualification · Qualification 18

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

111.06 – 290.17

10%90%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

144 – 248

Prediction correct · off by 37.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 207.6 ±15.3

10988Desert Storm

Season APEX 167.1Event APEX 75.17Rank 12Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 25.33Rank 17Record 2-6-0Status -Confidence -

9704IgKnighted

Provisional

Season APEX 40.5Event APEX 10.56Rank 10Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 465 ±19.3

6352LAUNCH TEAM

A+

Season APEX 294.5Event APEX 105.65Rank 4Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 89

6833Python Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 70.8Event APEX 35.55Rank 15Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

2375Dragon Robotics

Season APEX 99.7Event APEX 148.97Rank 6Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 76

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10988, NaN, 9704

/ 100 compat

Projected

111.1 pts

~0.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10988, NaN, 9704

Auto

2.2 2%

Teleop

59.6 58%

Endgame

40.1 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6352, 6833, 2375

/ 100 compat

Projected

290.2 pts

~2.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6352, 6833, 2375

Auto

53.9 19%

Teleop

166.4 57%

Endgame

69.8 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.7 · Blue 2.45

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score111.1pts

Blue projected score290.2pts

Red win probability10%

Event bonus sample62alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -179.1
Score range: 71–330
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 392 vs event baseline 220.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

207.6Season APEX465

2.2Auto53.9

59.6Teleop166.4

40.1Endgame69.8

43Consistency61

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	41
teleop	86	98
endgame	25	109
foul	0	0
total	144	248

Result

Final score

144 – 248

Prediction correct · off by 37.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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