Qualification · Qualification 16

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

98.46 – 379.1

3%97%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

166 – 355

Prediction correct · off by 45.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 97.2 ±40.8

991BroncoBots

Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 70.51Rank 3Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9999Off-Season Demo Team 9999

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 14.54Rank 18Record 0-0-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 13.41Rank 17Record 2-6-0Status -Confidence -

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 412 ±19.3

996Mecha Knights

Provisional

Season APEX 56.7Event APEX 64.23Rank 8Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9091A.W.E.

Provisional

Season APEX 37.1Event APEX 41.04Rank 13Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

498The Cobra Commanders

A+

Season APEX 318.2Event APEX 273.83Rank 1Record 8-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 991, 9999, NaN

/ 100 compat

Projected

98.5 pts

~0.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 991, 9999, NaN

Auto

24.3 23%

Teleop

46.4 45%

Endgame

33.0 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 996, 9091, 498

/ 100 compat

Projected

379.1 pts

~2.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 996, 9091, 498

Auto

77.7 21%

Teleop

180.2 48%

Endgame

117.2 31%

Strengths

· 498 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.53 · Blue 2.64

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score98.5pts

Blue projected score379.1pts

Red win probability3%

Event bonus sample62alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -280.6
Score range: 59–418
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 521 vs event baseline 216.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

97.2Season APEX412

24.3Auto77.7

46.4Teleop180.2

33Endgame117.2

64Consistency59

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	103
teleop	65	217
endgame	71	35
foul	0	0
total	166	355

Result

Final score

166 – 355

Prediction correct · off by 45.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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