Qualification · Qualification 15

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

149.53 – 255.96

21%79%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

89 – 293

Prediction correct · off by 48.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 158.4 ±22.5

6833Python Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 70.8Event APEX 57.48Rank 15Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9704IgKnighted

Provisional

Season APEX 40.5Event APEX 30.47Rank 10Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

11176RoboRabbits

Provisional

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 61.58Rank 9Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 638.4 ±15.4

2375Dragon Robotics

Season APEX 99.7Event APEX 143.82Rank 6Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 76

6352LAUNCH TEAM

A+

Season APEX 294.5Event APEX 102.93Rank 4Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 89

2486CocoNuts

Season APEX 244.2Event APEX 9.21Rank 16Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6833, 9704, 11176

/ 100 compat

Projected

149.5 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6833, 9704, 11176

Auto

36.1 24%

Teleop

85.2 56%

Endgame

31.9 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2375, 6352, 2486

/ 100 compat

Projected

256 pts

~2.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2375, 6352, 2486

Auto

42.0 17%

Teleop

165.5 65%

Endgame

45.3 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.94 · Blue 2.18

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score149.5pts

Blue projected score256pts

Red win probability21%

Event bonus sample62alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -106.4
Score range: 111–295
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 382 vs event baseline 218.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

158.4Season APEX638.4

36.1Auto42

85.2Teleop165.5

31.9Endgame45.3

36Consistency132

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	77
teleop	54	118
endgame	21	98
foul	0	0
total	89	293

Result

Final score

89 – 293

Prediction correct · off by 48.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.