Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

164.21 – 107.27

67%33%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

225 – 302

Prediction missed · off by 127.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 167.1 ±40.8

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 92.64Rank 17Record 2-6-0Status -Confidence -

9999Off-Season Demo Team 9999

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -0.39Rank 18Record 0-0-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

10988Desert Storm

Season APEX 167.1Event APEX 71.96Rank 12Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 309.8 ±16.4

9091A.W.E.

Provisional

Season APEX 37.1Event APEX 3.96Rank 13Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

991BroncoBots

Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 42.48Rank 3Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2403Plasma Robotics

Season APEX 175.5Event APEX 60.83Rank 5Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · NaN, 9999, 10988

/ 100 compat

Projected

164.2 pts

~1.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: NaN, 9999, 10988

Auto

31.6 22%

Teleop

68.2 47%

Endgame

46.5 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9091, 991, 2403

/ 100 compat

Projected

107.3 pts

~1.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9091, 991, 2403

Auto

5.5 5%

Teleop

58.2 51%

Endgame

49.4 44%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.86 · Blue 1.23

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score164.2pts

Blue projected score107.3pts

Red win probability67%

Event bonus sample62alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 56.9
Score range: 69–202
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 527 vs event baseline 212.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

167.1Season APEX309.8

31.6Auto5.5

68.2Teleop58.2

46.5Endgame49.4

100Consistency67

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	78	49
teleop	106	158
endgame	41	95
foul	0	0
total	225	302

Result

Final score

225 – 302

Prediction missed · off by 127.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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