Qualification · Qualification 10

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

92.37 – 142.51

35%65%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

31 – 214

Prediction correct · off by 66.4 points

Limited current-season data (9 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 84.6 ±18.4

10506Crash Test Dummies

Provisional

Season APEX 47.5Event APEX 24.13Rank 11Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 38.4Rank 17Record 2-6-0Status -Confidence -

9091A.W.E.

Provisional

Season APEX 37.1Event APEX 29.84Rank 13Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 391.7 ±12

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 23.8Rank 17Record 2-6-0Status -Confidence -

991BroncoBots

Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 19.79Rank 3Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6352LAUNCH TEAM

A+

Season APEX 294.5Event APEX 98.92Rank 4Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 89

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10506, NaN, 9091

/ 100 compat

Projected

92.4 pts

~1.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10506, NaN, 9091

Auto

20.5 21%

Teleop

40.6 42%

Endgame

34.5 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · NaN, 991, 6352

/ 100 compat

Projected

142.5 pts

~2.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: NaN, 991, 6352

Auto

21.4 16%

Teleop

103.5 78%

Endgame

7.6 6%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.19 · Blue 1.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score92.4pts

Blue projected score142.5pts

Red win probability35%

Event bonus sample62alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -50.1
Score range: 52–183
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 245 vs event baseline 224.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

84.6Season APEX391.7

20.5Auto21.4

40.6Teleop103.5

34.5Endgame7.6

142Consistency16

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	4	36
teleop	10	157
endgame	17	21
foul	0	0
total	31	214

Result

Final score

31 – 214

Prediction correct · off by 66.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

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