Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

337.68 – 412.5

28%72%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

301 – 534

Prediction correct · off by 79.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 99.7 ±11

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 44.08Rank 17Record 2-6-0Status -Confidence -

2375Dragon Robotics

Season APEX 99.7Event APEX 142.65Rank 6Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 76

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 150.95Rank 17Record 2-6-0Status -Confidence -

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 540.8 ±15.5

498The Cobra Commanders

A+

Season APEX 318.2Event APEX 270.34Rank 1Record 8-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11176RoboRabbits

Provisional

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 54.69Rank 9Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

2403Plasma Robotics

Season APEX 175.5Event APEX 87.47Rank 5Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · NaN, 2375, NaN

/ 100 compat

Projected

337.7 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: NaN, 2375, NaN

Auto

55.0 16%

Teleop

187.6 55%

Endgame

96.5 28%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 498, 11176, 2403

/ 100 compat

Projected

412.5 pts

~2.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 498, 11176, 2403

Auto

103.4 25%

Teleop

231.2 57%

Endgame

71.8 18%

Strengths

· 498 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.15 · Blue 1.99

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score337.7pts

Blue projected score412.5pts

Red win probability28%

Event bonus sample62alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -74.8
Score range: 296–455
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 835 vs event baseline 231.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

99.7Season APEX540.8

55Auto103.4

187.6Teleop231.2

96.5Endgame71.8

80Consistency23

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	89	104
teleop	194	285
endgame	18	130
foul	0	15
total	301	534

Result

Final score

301 – 534

Prediction correct · off by 79.1 pts

Match videos

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