Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

62.91 – 209.64

14%86%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

36 – 187

Prediction correct · off by 24.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 141.9 ±15.8

11176RoboRabbits

Provisional

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 43.32Rank 7Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

7755Phantom Circuits

Season APEX 94.8Event APEX 5.54Rank 16Record 1-8-0Status establishedConfidence 92

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 14.05Rank 14Record 2-7-0Status -Confidence -

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 244.2 ±6

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 90.56Rank 14Record 2-7-0Status -Confidence -

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 10.05Rank 14Record 2-7-0Status -Confidence -

2486CocoNuts

Season APEX 244.2Event APEX 109.03Rank 5Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11176, 7755, NaN

/ 100 compat

Projected

62.9 pts

~0.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 11176, 7755, NaN

Auto

3.7 6%

Teleop

41.5 68%

Endgame

15.7 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · NaN, NaN, 2486

/ 100 compat

Projected

209.6 pts

~2.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: NaN, NaN, 2486

Auto

39.6 19%

Teleop

118.1 56%

Endgame

52.8 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.63 · Blue 2.14

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score62.9pts

Blue projected score209.6pts

Red win probability14%

Event bonus sample68alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 30%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -146.7
Score range: 29–244
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 223 vs event baseline 191.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

141.9Season APEX244.2

3.7Auto39.6

41.5Teleop118.1

15.7Endgame52.8

26Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	3	10
teleop	24	120
endgame	9	57
foul	0	0
total	36	187

Result

Final score

36 – 187

Prediction correct · off by 24.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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