Qualification · Qualification 5
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
162.37 – 419.66
4%96%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
143 – 429
Prediction correct · off by 14.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 175.5 ±40.4
Season APEX 0Event APEX 21.67Rank 18Record 0-0-0Status preseasonConfidence 0
Season APEX -Event APEX 24.81Rank 14Record 2-7-0Status -Confidence -
Season APEX 175.5Event APEX 115.89Rank 6Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 455 ±18.1
Season APEX 99.7Event APEX 140.39Rank 4Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 76
Season APEX 318.2Event APEX 257.07Rank 1Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
9091A.W.E.
Provisional
Season APEX 37.1Event APEX 22.2Rank 11Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9999, NaN, 2403
56
/ 100 compatProjected
162.4 pts
~0.6 RP (offseason)
Teams: 9999, NaN, 2403
Auto
28.4 19%
Teleop
83.0 54%
Endgame
41.7 27%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 33%
Supercharged: 11%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2375, 498, 9091
76
/ 100 compatProjected
419.7 pts
~2.5 RP (offseason)
Teams: 2375, 498, 9091
Auto
74.2 18%
Teleop
278.4 67%
Endgame
62.8 15%
Strengths
- · 498 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 33%
Supercharged: 11%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.55 · Blue 2.55
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score162.4pts
Blue projected score419.7pts
Red win probability4%
Event bonus sample68alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 33%, blue 40%
Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 20%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -257.3
- Score range
- 128–454
- Upset likelihood
- 4%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
175.5Season APEX455
28.4Auto74.2
83Teleop278.4
41.7Endgame62.8
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 24 | 67 |
| teleop | 75 | 352 |
| endgame | 44 | 10 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 143 | 429 |
Result
Final score
143 – 429
Prediction correct · off by 14.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
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