Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

325.2 – 159.98

89%11%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

433 – 223

Prediction correct · off by 85.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 365.3 ±14.3

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 24.81Rank 14Record 2-7-0Status -Confidence -

11176RoboRabbits

Provisional

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 43.32Rank 7Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

498The Cobra Commanders

A+

Season APEX 318.2Event APEX 257.07Rank 1Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 194.5 ±14.2

7755Phantom Circuits

Season APEX 94.8Event APEX 5.54Rank 16Record 1-8-0Status establishedConfidence 92

2375Dragon Robotics

Season APEX 99.7Event APEX 140.39Rank 4Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 76

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 14.05Rank 14Record 2-7-0Status -Confidence -

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · NaN, 11176, 498

/ 100 compat

Projected

325.2 pts

~2.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: NaN, 11176, 498

Auto

68.1 21%

Teleop

211.5 65%

Endgame

45.9 14%

Strengths

· 498 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7755, 2375, NaN

/ 100 compat

Projected

160 pts

~0.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7755, 2375, NaN

Auto

14.1 9%

Teleop

104.7 68%

Endgame

34.5 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.34 · Blue 0.64

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score325.2pts

Blue projected score160pts

Red win probability89%

Event bonus sample68alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 165.2
Score range: 126–359
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 656 vs event baseline 191.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

365.3Season APEX194.5

68.1Auto14.1

211.5Teleop104.7

45.9Endgame34.5

0Consistency26

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	93	17
teleop	237	164
endgame	103	42
foul	0	0
total	433	223

Result

Final score

433 – 223

Prediction correct · off by 85.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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