Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

334.49 – 178.31

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

227 – 130

Prediction correct · off by 77.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 369.4 ±42.2

1212Sentinels

Provisional

Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 20.19Rank 12Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

498The Cobra Commanders

A+

Season APEX 318.2Event APEX 253.76Rank 1Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9997Off-Season Demo Team 9997

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 60.54Rank 17Record 0-0-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 291.3 ±14.3

11176RoboRabbits

Provisional

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 46.17Rank 7Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

2486CocoNuts

Season APEX 244.2Event APEX 99.15Rank 5Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 32.99Rank 14Record 2-7-0Status -Confidence -

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1212, 498, 9997

/ 100 compat

Projected

334.5 pts

~2.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1212, 498, 9997

Auto

65.6 20%

Teleop

213.5 66%

Endgame

42.3 13%

Strengths

· 498 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11176, 2486, NaN

/ 100 compat

Projected

178.3 pts

~0.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 11176, 2486, NaN

Auto

26.2 15%

Teleop

99.5 55%

Endgame

54.0 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.24 · Blue 0.68

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score334.5pts

Blue projected score178.3pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample68alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 156.2
Score range: 147–365
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 357 vs event baseline 171.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

369.4Season APEX291.3

65.6Auto26.2

213.5Teleop99.5

42.3Endgame54

74Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	76	10
teleop	121	114
endgame	15	6
foul	15	0
total	227	130

Result

Final score

227 – 130

Prediction correct · off by 77.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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