Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

27.41 – 0

59%41%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

66 – 85

Prediction missed · off by 61.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 188.6 ±20.5

996Mecha Knights

Provisional

Season APEX 56.7Event APEX -0.39Rank 15Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9091A.W.E.

Provisional

Season APEX 37.1Event APEX 23.64Rank 11Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

7755Phantom Circuits

Season APEX 94.8Event APEX 4.16Rank 16Record 1-8-0Status establishedConfidence 92

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±40

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX -11.41Rank 14Record 2-7-0Status -Confidence -

9999Off-Season Demo Team 9999

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 14.88Rank 18Record 0-0-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX -4.27Rank 14Record 2-7-0Status -Confidence -

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 996, 9091, 7755

/ 100 compat

Projected

27.4 pts

~1.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 996, 9091, 7755

Auto

-3.9 0%

Teleop

27.4 88%

Endgame

7.7 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · NaN, 9999, NaN

/ 100 compat

Projected

-0.8 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: NaN, 9999, NaN

Auto

-7.2 44%

Teleop

-36.7 100%

Endgame

27.4 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.52 · Blue 1.14

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score27.4pts

Blue projected score-0.8pts

Red win probability59%

Event bonus sample68alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 28%, blue 24%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 27.4
Score range: -32–59
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 151 vs event baseline 175.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

188.6Season APEX0

-3.9Auto-7.2

27.4Teleop-36.7

7.7Endgame27.4

50Consistency29

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	14
teleop	33	29
endgame	19	27
foul	0	15
total	66	85

Result

Final score

66 – 85

Prediction missed · off by 61.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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