Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

119.36 – 318.21

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

153 – 372

Prediction correct · off by 43.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 263.4 ±13.6

10256Team Scrap Metal

Season APEX 96.3Event APEX 21.07Rank 8Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 77

10988Desert Storm

Season APEX 167.1Event APEX 92.01Rank 2Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 94

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 6.28Rank 14Record 2-7-0Status -Confidence -

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 275.2 ±12.5

2375Dragon Robotics

Season APEX 99.7Event APEX 132.47Rank 4Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 76

2403Plasma Robotics

Season APEX 175.5Event APEX 107Rank 6Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 78.74Rank 14Record 2-7-0Status -Confidence -

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10256, 10988, NaN

/ 100 compat

Projected

119.4 pts

~0.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10256, 10988, NaN

Auto

31.7 27%

Teleop

71.0 61%

Endgame

13.5 12%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2375, 2403, NaN

/ 100 compat

Projected

318.2 pts

~2.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2375, 2403, NaN

Auto

37.7 12%

Teleop

201.2 64%

Endgame

77.9 25%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.53 · Blue 2.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score119.4pts

Blue projected score318.2pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample68alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 14%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -198.8
Score range: 88–349
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 525 vs event baseline 172.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

263.4Season APEX275.2

31.7Auto37.7

71Teleop201.2

13.5Endgame77.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	72
teleop	71	220
endgame	57	80
foul	0	0
total	153	372

Result

Final score

153 – 372

Prediction correct · off by 43.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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