Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

141.68 – 86.78

66%34%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

228 – 50

Prediction correct · off by 61.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 339 ±41.4

7755Phantom Circuits

Season APEX 94.8Event APEX -4.14Rank 16Record 1-8-0Status establishedConfidence 92

2486CocoNuts

Season APEX 244.2Event APEX 91.41Rank 5Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9997Off-Season Demo Team 9997

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 54.41Rank 17Record 0-0-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 140.9 ±22.5

996Mecha Knights

Provisional

Season APEX 56.7Event APEX 4.43Rank 15Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9091A.W.E.

Provisional

Season APEX 37.1Event APEX 29.28Rank 11Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

11176RoboRabbits

Provisional

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 53.07Rank 7Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7755, 2486, 9997

/ 100 compat

Projected

141.7 pts

~1.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7755, 2486, 9997

Auto

12.0 9%

Teleop

75.9 56%

Endgame

46.8 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 996, 9091, 11176

/ 100 compat

Projected

86.8 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 996, 9091, 11176

Auto

3.9 4%

Teleop

59.3 65%

Endgame

27.5 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.77 · Blue 1.03

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score141.7pts

Blue projected score86.8pts

Red win probability66%

Event bonus sample68alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 27%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 54.9
Score range: 56–173
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 278 vs event baseline 173.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

339Season APEX140.9

12Auto3.9

75.9Teleop59.3

46.8Endgame27.5

49Consistency31

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	8
teleop	130	32
endgame	64	10
foul	15	0
total	228	50

Result

Final score

228 – 50

Prediction correct · off by 61.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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