Qualification · Qualification 23

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

141.67 – 292.07

13%87%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

118 – 142

Prediction correct · off by 86.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 226.7 ±13.4

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 12.44Rank 14Record 2-7-0Status -Confidence -

1212Sentinels

Provisional

Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 23.7Rank 12Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

2403Plasma Robotics

Season APEX 175.5Event APEX 105.53Rank 6Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 266.8 ±42.2

9999Off-Season Demo Team 9999

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 35.51Rank 18Record 0-0-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

2375Dragon Robotics

Season APEX 99.7Event APEX 148.36Rank 4Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 76

10988Desert Storm

Season APEX 167.1Event APEX 108.2Rank 2Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · NaN, 1212, 2403

/ 100 compat

Projected

141.7 pts

~0.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: NaN, 1212, 2403

Auto

41.5 30%

Teleop

80.9 59%

Endgame

14.8 11%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9999, 2375, 10988

/ 100 compat

Projected

292.1 pts

~2.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9999, 2375, 10988

Auto

30.0 11%

Teleop

177.1 63%

Endgame

73.8 26%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.62 · Blue 2.22

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score141.7pts

Blue projected score292.1pts

Red win probability13%

Event bonus sample68alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -150.4
Score range: 110–324
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 260 vs event baseline 175.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

226.7Season APEX266.8

41.5Auto30

80.9Teleop177.1

14.8Endgame73.8

50Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	25
teleop	64	58
endgame	34	29
foul	0	30
total	118	142

Result

Final score

118 – 142

Prediction correct · off by 86.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

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