Qualification · Qualification 21

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

114.35 – 42.17

71%29%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

58 – 31

Prediction correct · off by 33.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 47.1 ±42.1

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 18.02Rank 14Record 2-7-0Status -Confidence -

9999Off-Season Demo Team 9999

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 44.7Rank 18Record 0-0-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11176RoboRabbits

Provisional

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 51.63Rank 7Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 145 ±22

9091A.W.E.

Provisional

Season APEX 37.1Event APEX 27.05Rank 11Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

1212Sentinels

Provisional

Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 18.08Rank 12Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

996Mecha Knights

Provisional

Season APEX 56.7Event APEX -2.96Rank 15Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · NaN, 9999, 11176

/ 100 compat

Projected

114.4 pts

~1.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: NaN, 9999, 11176

Auto

21.2 21%

Teleop

52.5 52%

Endgame

26.8 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9091, 1212, 996

/ 100 compat

Projected

42.2 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9091, 1212, 996

Auto

5.6 13%

Teleop

38.2 86%

Endgame

0.7 2%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.77 · Blue 0.9

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score114.4pts

Blue projected score42.2pts

Red win probability71%

Event bonus sample68alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 72.2
Score range: 9–147
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 89 vs event baseline 184.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

47.1Season APEX145

21.2Auto5.6

52.5Teleop38.2

26.8Endgame0.7

0Consistency103

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	2	18
teleop	15	13
endgame	26	0
foul	15	0
total	58	31

Result

Final score

58 – 31

Prediction correct · off by 33.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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