Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

33.48 – 131.4

23%77%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

189 – 223

Prediction correct · off by 123.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 270.3 ±10.8

2403Plasma Robotics

Season APEX 175.5Event APEX 76.86Rank 6Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7755Phantom Circuits

Season APEX 94.8Event APEX -37.15Rank 16Record 1-8-0Status establishedConfidence 92

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX -6.23Rank 14Record 2-7-0Status -Confidence -

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±40

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 34.71Rank 14Record 2-7-0Status -Confidence -

9997Off-Season Demo Team 9997

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 27.84Rank 17Record 0-0-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 68.85Rank 14Record 2-7-0Status -Confidence -

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2403, 7755, NaN

/ 100 compat

Projected

33.5 pts

~0.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2403, 7755, NaN

Auto

-4.3 0%

Teleop

3.6 11%

Endgame

33.1 100%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · NaN, 9997, NaN

/ 100 compat

Projected

131.4 pts

~2.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: NaN, 9997, NaN

Auto

5.9 5%

Teleop

66.9 54%

Endgame

50.7 41%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.8 · Blue 2.05

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score33.5pts

Blue projected score131.4pts

Red win probability23%

Event bonus sample68alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 28%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -97.9
Score range: 0–164
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 412 vs event baseline 183.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

270.3Season APEX0

-4.3Auto5.9

3.6Teleop66.9

33.1Endgame50.7

65Consistency34

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	49
teleop	99	131
endgame	68	28
foul	0	15
total	189	223

Result

Final score

189 – 223

Prediction correct · off by 123.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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