Qualification · Qualification 18

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

53.27 – 180.12

17%83%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

29 – 215

Prediction correct · off by 29.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 56.7 ±13

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 32.7Rank 14Record 2-7-0Status -Confidence -

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 4.18Rank 14Record 2-7-0Status -Confidence -

996Mecha Knights

Provisional

Season APEX 56.7Event APEX 16.39Rank 15Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 222.6 ±42.5

2403Plasma Robotics

Season APEX 175.5Event APEX 80.79Rank 6Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9997Off-Season Demo Team 9997

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 34.39Rank 17Record 0-0-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11176RoboRabbits

Provisional

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 64.94Rank 7Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · NaN, NaN, 996

/ 100 compat

Projected

53.3 pts

~0.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: NaN, NaN, 996

Auto

-1.6 0%

Teleop

17.9 38%

Endgame

30.3 65%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2403, 9997, 11176

/ 100 compat

Projected

180.1 pts

~2.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2403, 9997, 11176

Auto

23.6 13%

Teleop

86.3 48%

Endgame

68.1 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.62 · Blue 2.12

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score53.3pts

Blue projected score180.1pts

Red win probability17%

Event bonus sample68alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 23%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -126.8
Score range: 22–211
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 244 vs event baseline 171.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

56.7Season APEX222.6

-1.6Auto23.6

17.9Teleop86.3

30.3Endgame68.1

96Consistency41

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	17
teleop	9	135
endgame	6	48
foul	0	15
total	29	215

Result

Final score

29 – 215

Prediction correct · off by 29.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

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