Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

91.25 – 319.79

5%95%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

136 – 417

Prediction correct · off by 71 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 261.9 ±12

7755Phantom Circuits

Season APEX 94.8Event APEX -50.03Rank 16Record 1-8-0Status establishedConfidence 92

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 32.4Rank 14Record 2-7-0Status -Confidence -

10988Desert Storm

Season APEX 167.1Event APEX 108.88Rank 2Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 493.7 ±40.9

9999Off-Season Demo Team 9999

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 84.63Rank 18Record 0-0-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

2403Plasma Robotics

Season APEX 175.5Event APEX 43.82Rank 6Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

498The Cobra Commanders

A+

Season APEX 318.2Event APEX 191.34Rank 1Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7755, NaN, 10988

/ 100 compat

Projected

91.3 pts

~0.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7755, NaN, 10988

Auto

6.1 6%

Teleop

57.4 59%

Endgame

34.3 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9999, 2403, 498

/ 100 compat

Projected

319.8 pts

~2.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9999, 2403, 498

Auto

76.4 25%

Teleop

201.7 65%

Endgame

32.8 11%

Strengths

· 498 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.56 · Blue 2.44

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score91.3pts

Blue projected score319.8pts

Red win probability5%

Event bonus sample68alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 16%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -228.5
Score range: 60–351
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 553 vs event baseline 172.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

261.9Season APEX493.7

6.1Auto76.4

57.4Teleop201.7

34.3Endgame32.8

95Consistency106

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	83
teleop	72	221
endgame	40	98
foul	0	15
total	136	417

Result

Final score

136 – 417

Prediction correct · off by 71 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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