Qualification · Qualification 11

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

323.62 – 54.07

97%3%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

81 – 124

Prediction missed · off by 156.3 points

Limited current-season data (10 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 413 ±10.8

498The Cobra Commanders

A+

Season APEX 318.2Event APEX 243.36Rank 1Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7755Phantom Circuits

Season APEX 94.8Event APEX 6.41Rank 16Record 1-8-0Status establishedConfidence 92

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 73.85Rank 14Record 2-7-0Status -Confidence -

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 308.9 ±18.1

9091A.W.E.

Provisional

Season APEX 37.1Event APEX 9.12Rank 11Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

2403Plasma Robotics

Season APEX 175.5Event APEX 26.14Rank 6Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10256Team Scrap Metal

Season APEX 96.3Event APEX 18.81Rank 8Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 77

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 498, 7755, NaN

/ 100 compat

Projected

323.6 pts

~2.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 498, 7755, NaN

Auto

41.2 13%

Teleop

206.0 65%

Endgame

69.4 22%

Strengths

· 498 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9091, 2403, 10256

/ 100 compat

Projected

54.1 pts

~0.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9091, 2403, 10256

Auto

17.6 32%

Teleop

51.5 94%

Endgame

-14.6 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.33 · Blue 0.47

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score323.6pts

Blue projected score54.1pts

Red win probability97%

Event bonus sample68alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 269.6
Score range: 20–358
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 205 vs event baseline 186.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

413Season APEX308.9

41.2Auto17.6

206Teleop51.5

69.4Endgame-14.6

125Consistency122

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	27
teleop	48	71
endgame	15	26
foul	0	0
total	81	124

Result

Final score

81 – 124

Prediction missed · off by 156.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.