Qualification · Qualification 10

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

81.13 – 255.22

10%90%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

182 – 338

Prediction correct · off by 91.8 points

Limited current-season data (9 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 56.7 ±42.1

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 39.91Rank 14Record 2-7-0Status -Confidence -

996Mecha Knights

Provisional

Season APEX 56.7Event APEX 3.5Rank 15Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9999Off-Season Demo Team 9999

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 37.72Rank 18Record 0-0-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 313.9 ±18.8

10988Desert Storm

Season APEX 167.1Event APEX 95.03Rank 2Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 94

11176RoboRabbits

Provisional

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 37.61Rank 7Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

2375Dragon Robotics

Season APEX 99.7Event APEX 122.58Rank 4Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 76

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · NaN, 996, 9999

/ 100 compat

Projected

81.1 pts

~0.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: NaN, 996, 9999

Auto

9.8 13%

Teleop

46.2 61%

Endgame

19.5 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10988, 11176, 2375

/ 100 compat

Projected

255.2 pts

~2.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10988, 11176, 2375

Auto

23.4 9%

Teleop

182.7 71%

Endgame

51.1 20%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.58 · Blue 2.29

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score81.1pts

Blue projected score255.2pts

Red win probability10%

Event bonus sample68alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -174.1
Score range: 49–287
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 520 vs event baseline 178.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

56.7Season APEX313.9

9.8Auto23.4

46.2Teleop182.7

19.5Endgame51.1

195Consistency67

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	8	34
teleop	92	223
endgame	67	81
foul	15	0
total	182	338

Result

Final score

182 – 338

Prediction correct · off by 91.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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