Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

401.23 – 228.42

90%10%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

333 – 149

Prediction correct · off by 73.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 619.1 ±15.5

2486CocoNuts

Season APEX 244.2Event APEX 114.98Rank 5Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

996Mecha Knights

Provisional

Season APEX 56.7Event APEX 23.14Rank 15Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

498The Cobra Commanders

A+

Season APEX 318.2Event APEX 263.11Rank 1Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 175.5 ±6

2403Plasma Robotics

Season APEX 175.5Event APEX 122.6Rank 6Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 8.14Rank 14Record 2-7-0Status -Confidence -

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 97.68Rank 14Record 2-7-0Status -Confidence -

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2486, 996, 498

/ 100 compat

Projected

401.2 pts

~2.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2486, 996, 498

Auto

82.1 21%

Teleop

240.1 60%

Endgame

76.9 19%

Strengths

· 498 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2403, NaN, NaN

/ 100 compat

Projected

228.4 pts

~0.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2403, NaN, NaN

Auto

33.4 15%

Teleop

125.2 55%

Endgame

69.8 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.24 · Blue 0.58

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score401.2pts

Blue projected score228.4pts

Red win probability90%

Event bonus sample68alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 29%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 172.8
Score range: 194–435
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 482 vs event baseline 188.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

619.1Season APEX175.5

82.1Auto33.4

240.1Teleop125.2

76.9Endgame69.8

0Consistency2

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	97	65
teleop	168	84
endgame	68	0
foul	0	0
total	333	149

Result

Final score

333 – 149

Prediction correct · off by 73.8 pts

Match videos

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