Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

379.34 – 136.63

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

465 – 218

Prediction correct · off by 83.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 650.9 ±13.1

2122Team Tators

Season APEX 289.6Event APEX 184.42Rank 1Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2478Westwood Robotics

Season APEX 76.3Event APEX 23.02Rank 37Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 76

7426PAIR OF DICE ROBOTICS

Season APEX 285Event APEX 171.9Rank 2Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 526.5 ±10.4

10114Phantom Talons

Season APEX 131.5Event APEX 39.78Rank 6Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3243Amperes

Season APEX 219.5Event APEX 55.38Rank 34Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2403Plasma Robotics

Season APEX 175.5Event APEX 41.47Rank 24Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2122, 2478, 7426

/ 100 compat

Projected

379.3 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 2122, 2478, 7426

Auto

77.9 21%

Teleop

217.7 59%

Endgame

73.2 20%

Strengths

· 2122 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10114, 3243, 2403

/ 100 compat

Projected

136.6 pts

~0.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 10114, 3243, 2403

Auto

29.9 22%

Teleop

84.1 62%

Endgame

21.5 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.36 · Blue 0.49

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score379.3pts

Blue projected score136.6pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 242.7
Score range: 118–398
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 683 vs event baseline 107.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

650.9Season APEX526.5

77.9Auto29.9

217.7Teleop84.1

73.2Endgame21.5

0Consistency26

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	89	44
teleop	284	96
endgame	92	58
foul	0	20
total	465	218

Result

Final score

465 – 218

Prediction correct · off by 83.5 pts

Match videos

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