Qualification · Qualification 9

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

45.44 – 45.44

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

70 – 177

Prediction missed · off by 78.1 points

Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 339.2 ±16.9

4146Sabercats

Provisional

Season APEX 52.9Event APEX -Rank 41Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

3009High Scalers

Season APEX 66.8Event APEX -Rank 55Record 1-8-0Status establishedConfidence 92

3243Amperes

Season APEX 219.5Event APEX -Rank 34Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 393.6 ±13.5

7755Phantom Circuits

Season APEX 94.8Event APEX -Rank 17Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 92

3245Ravens

Season APEX 194Event APEX -Rank 4Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1410The Kraken

Season APEX 104.8Event APEX -Rank 20Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4146, 3009, 3243

/ 100 compat

Projected

45.4 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 4146, 3009, 3243

Auto

13.6 30%

Teleop

22.7 50%

Endgame

9.1 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7755, 3245, 1410

/ 100 compat

Projected

45.4 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 7755, 3245, 1410

Auto

13.6 30%

Teleop

22.7 50%

Endgame

9.1 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.28 · Blue 1.47

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score45.4pts

Blue projected score45.4pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 24%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 0
Score range: 29–61
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 247 vs event baseline 90.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

339.2Season APEX393.6

-Auto-

-Teleop-

-Endgame-

-Consistency-

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	27
teleop	24	100
endgame	0	35
foul	15	15
total	70	177

Result

Final score

70 – 177

Prediction missed · off by 78.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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