Qualification · Qualification 82

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

76.5 – 151.27

28%72%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

111 – 90

Prediction missed · off by 47.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 316.3 ±19.3

3243Amperes

Season APEX 219.5Event APEX 44.86Rank 34Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2840PCDS Blue Tide

Provisional

Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 28Rank 25Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

3944All Knights

Provisional

Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 3.64Rank 33Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 266.3 ±13.9

3216MRT

Season APEX 114.7Event APEX 82.78Rank 13Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9059COLTech Robotics

Season APEX 61.9Event APEX 13.66Rank 29Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 94

10183ARC

Season APEX 89.7Event APEX 54.83Rank 9Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3243, 2840, 3944

/ 100 compat

Projected

76.5 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 3243, 2840, 3944

Auto

19.8 27%

Teleop

46.5 64%

Endgame

5.9 8%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3216, 9059, 10183

/ 100 compat

Projected

151.3 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 3216, 9059, 10183

Auto

13.4 9%

Teleop

86.8 56%

Endgame

53.8 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.98 · Blue 1.93

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score76.5pts

Blue projected score151.3pts

Red win probability28%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -74.8
Score range: 58–170
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 201 vs event baseline 103.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

316.3Season APEX266.3

19.8Auto13.4

46.5Teleop86.8

5.9Endgame53.8

46Consistency23

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	7
teleop	66	70
endgame	12	13
foul	0	0
total	111	90

Result

Final score

111 – 90

Prediction missed · off by 47.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.