Qualification · Qualification 80

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

0 – 90.03

23%77%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

32 – 34

Prediction correct · off by 44 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 170.9 ±17.7

3009High Scalers

Season APEX 66.8Event APEX 1.04Rank 55Record 1-8-0Status establishedConfidence 92

11176RoboRabbits

Provisional

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 2.11Rank 46Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

1165Team Paradise

Season APEX 57Event APEX -11.54Rank 53Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 320.8 ±16.9

987HIGHROLLERS

Season APEX 204.2Event APEX 60.17Rank 14Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5933JudgeMent Call Robotics

Season APEX 59.9Event APEX 21.77Rank 19Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 89

996Mecha Knights

Provisional

Season APEX 56.7Event APEX 8.09Rank 28Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3009, 11176, 1165

/ 100 compat

Projected

-8.4 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 3009, 11176, 1165

Auto

6.6 0%

Teleop

-16.8 100%

Endgame

-2.5 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 987, 5933, 996

/ 100 compat

Projected

90 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 987, 5933, 996

Auto

28.1 33%

Teleop

43.6 51%

Endgame

14.4 17%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.69 · Blue 1.99

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score-8.4pts

Blue projected score90pts

Red win probability23%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 20%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -90
Score range: -19–109
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 66 vs event baseline 104.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

170.9Season APEX320.8

6.6Auto28.1

-16.8Teleop43.6

-2.5Endgame14.4

55Consistency81

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	29
teleop	7	5
endgame	5	0
foul	5	0
total	32	34

Result

Final score

32 – 34

Prediction correct · off by 44 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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