Qualification · Qualification 8

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

47.79 – 47.79

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

83 – 33

Prediction correct · off by 25 points

Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 191.9 ±18.1

1212Sentinels

Provisional

Season APEX 51.2Event APEX -Rank 22Record 6-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

4731MONARCH-E

Season APEX 77.3Event APEX -Rank 16Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7333Ghost

Season APEX 63.4Event APEX -Rank 31Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 77

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 189 ±15

2080Torbotics

Season APEX 85.3Event APEX -Rank 36Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 86

10933Tie Dye Samurai

Season APEX 42.3Event APEX -Rank 27Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1828BoxerBots

Season APEX 61.4Event APEX -Rank 39Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 92

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1212, 4731, 7333

/ 100 compat

Projected

47.8 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 1212, 4731, 7333

Auto

14.3 30%

Teleop

23.9 50%

Endgame

9.6 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2080, 10933, 1828

/ 100 compat

Projected

47.8 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 2080, 10933, 1828

Auto

14.3 30%

Teleop

23.9 50%

Endgame

9.6 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.32 · Blue 1.42

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score47.8pts

Blue projected score47.8pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 28%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 0
Score range: 31–65
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 116 vs event baseline 95.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

191.9Season APEX189

-Auto-

-Teleop-

-Endgame-

-Consistency-

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	12
teleop	54	15
endgame	14	6
foul	0	0
total	83	33

Result

Final score

83 – 33

Prediction correct · off by 25 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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