Qualification · Qualification 79

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

210.27 – 91.33

81%19%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

251 – 108

Prediction correct · off by 28.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 451.1 ±13.7

7426PAIR OF DICE ROBOTICS

Season APEX 285Event APEX 164.07Rank 2Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8717Cyber Vipers

Season APEX 97.9Event APEX 24.98Rank 32Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 89

11100Team Epsilon

Season APEX 68.2Event APEX 21.22Rank 38Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 89

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 244.2 ±17

10905Team LOVE

Season APEX 70Event APEX -7.62Rank 47Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 89

1410The Kraken

Season APEX 104.8Event APEX 59.51Rank 20Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11479Formosa Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 69.4Event APEX 39.44Rank 15Record 6-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7426, 8717, 11100

/ 100 compat

Projected

210.3 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 7426, 8717, 11100

Auto

39.6 20%

Teleop

102.4 51%

Endgame

58.5 29%

Strengths

· 7426 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10905, 1410, 11479

/ 100 compat

Projected

91.3 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 10905, 1410, 11479

Auto

25.7 28%

Teleop

55.2 60%

Endgame

11.7 13%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.1 · Blue 0.71

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score210.3pts

Blue projected score91.3pts

Red win probability81%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 118.9
Score range: 72–229
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 359 vs event baseline 103.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

451.1Season APEX244.2

39.6Auto25.7

102.4Teleop55.2

58.5Endgame11.7

2Consistency134

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	47	22
teleop	143	35
endgame	61	36
foul	0	15
total	251	108

Result

Final score

251 – 108

Prediction correct · off by 28.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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