Qualification · Qualification 75

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

45.75 – 303.87

4%96%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

42 – 281

Prediction correct · off by 13.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 227.7 ±16.9

288The RoboDawgs

Season APEX 127.3Event APEX 26.25Rank 26Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8012APEX Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 41.1Event APEX 13.4Rank 48Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9534Wolves Robotics (Basic HS)

Season APEX 59.3Event APEX 6.1Rank 51Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 89

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 593.8 ±11.2

6479AZTECH Robotics

Season APEX 110.2Event APEX 52.7Rank 5Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2122Team Tators

Season APEX 289.6Event APEX 185.33Rank 1Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3245Ravens

Season APEX 194Event APEX 65.84Rank 4Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 288, 8012, 9534

/ 100 compat

Projected

45.8 pts

~0.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 288, 8012, 9534

Auto

7.4 18%

Teleop

19.9 49%

Endgame

13.3 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6479, 2122, 3245

/ 100 compat

Projected

303.9 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 6479, 2122, 3245

Auto

47.9 16%

Teleop

174.9 59%

Endgame

74.7 25%

Strengths

· 2122 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.45 · Blue 2.48

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score45.8pts

Blue projected score303.9pts

Red win probability4%

Event bonus sample196alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -258.1
Score range: 28–322
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 323 vs event baseline 102.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

227.7Season APEX593.8

7.4Auto47.9

19.9Teleop174.9

13.3Endgame74.7

38Consistency65

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	50
teleop	18	157
endgame	8	74
foul	5	0
total	42	281

Result

Final score

42 – 281

Prediction correct · off by 13.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree